May 16, 1996
UFC Superfight Championship Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 198 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Dan Severn's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Severn for the expected result. Had Ken Shamrock pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 172 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:00 | 3:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 391 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Severn receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 358 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Ken Shamrock controlled the striking through superior volume (59 vs 32 total strikes). However, since Ken Shamrock lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Severn's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 371 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Dan Severn did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ken Shamrock on the ground with 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 852 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -2 |
Dan Severn demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Severn capitalized on this activity level, while Ken Shamrock's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 177 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Dan Severn extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ken Shamrock is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Ken Shamrock |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 140 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.