February 6, 1997
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 162 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +50 |
Mark Coleman overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dan Severn.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 150 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Mark Coleman captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 350 | 1 470 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +72 |
Mark Coleman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 333 | 1 445 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Dan Severn controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Dan Severn lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mark Coleman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 253 | 1 446 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 820 | 1 721 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +63 |
Mark Coleman demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Coleman capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Severn's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +56 |
Mark Coleman continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dan Severn's now at 0.
| Metric | Dan Severn | Mark Coleman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.