November 2, 2018
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 487 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Daniel Cormier overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Derrick Lewis.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 417 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -9 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Daniel Cormier captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:14 | 2:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 789 | 1 549 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -21 |
Daniel Cormier earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:14, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Derrick Lewis was submitted.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 734 | 1 484 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Daniel Cormier controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 5 total strikes, 19 vs 4 significant strikes, 76.0% vs 30.8% accuracy. Daniel Cormier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 723 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Daniel Cormier dominated Derrick Lewis on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:10 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 29 |
| Activity ELO | 1 429 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Daniel Cormier demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Cormier capitalized on this activity level, while Derrick Lewis's 29-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 311 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Daniel Cormier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derrick Lewis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 526 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.