January 2, 2015
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 240 | 1 440 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Jon Jones's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Jones for the expected result. Had Daniel Cormier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 465 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +14 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jon Jones captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 294 | 1 724 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Jon Jones earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 165 | 178 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 755 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Jon Jones controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 78 total strikes, 92 vs 58 significant strikes, 51.7% vs 35.2% accuracy. Jon Jones capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 6:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 411 | 1 778 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Jon Jones edged out Daniel Cormier on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:50 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 1 509 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +7 |
Jon Jones demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jon Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Cormier's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 12 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 112 | 1 521 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +32 |
Jon Jones extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Daniel Cormier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.