February 21, 2014
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Daniel Cormier's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Cormier for the expected result. Had Patrick Cummins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:19 | 1:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -25 |
Daniel Cormier earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 216 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Daniel Cormier controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 8 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Daniel Cormier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 184 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Daniel Cormier landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Daniel Cormier demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Cormier capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cummins's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Daniel Cormier extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cummins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

