October 18, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 199 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -27 |
Daniel Cormier overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roy Nelson.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Daniel Cormier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 148 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Daniel Cormier dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 26 total strikes, 74 vs 17 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 20.7% accuracy. Daniel Cormier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:52 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 153 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Daniel Cormier controlled Roy Nelson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:52 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -29 |
Daniel Cormier demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Cormier capitalized on this activity level, while Roy Nelson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Daniel Cormier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roy Nelson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.