August 14, 2020
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 410 | 1 443 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Stipe Miocic's 2-fight experience advantage (17 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stipe Miocic for the expected result. Had Daniel Cormier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 371 | 1 464 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +61 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Stipe Miocic captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 713 | 1 875 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Stipe Miocic earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 105 | 115 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 183 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 145 | 171 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 588 | 1 778 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 171 vs 145 total strikes, 115 vs 105 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 5:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 639 | 1 606 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Stipe Miocic slightly outworked Daniel Cormier on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:52 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 380 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Cormier's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 270 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Cormier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Cormier | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 454 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.