April 5, 2025
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 946 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Rhys McKee's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rhys McKee for the expected result. Had Daniel Frunza pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 950 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 939 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Rhys McKee earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 829 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -171 | +171 |
Rhys McKee dominated the striking exchanges, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Rhys McKee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 897 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Rhys McKee landed 3 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 372 |
| Activity ELO | 975 | 956 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +23 |
Rhys McKee demonstrated extended layoff with 372 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rhys McKee capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Frunza's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 954 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Rhys McKee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Frunza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Frunza | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 950 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.