Daniel Kelly vs Derek Brunson

Derek Brunson's 3-fight experience advantage (11 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derek Brunson for the expected result. Had Daniel Kelly pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Derek Brunson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Derek Brunson controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Derek Brunson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Derek Brunson demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derek Brunson capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Kelly's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Derek Brunson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Kelly is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.