November 17, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +42 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 169 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Elias Theodorou earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 250 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 128 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 030 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Elias Theodorou dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 54 total strikes, 118 vs 42 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 35.0% accuracy. Elias Theodorou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Elias Theodorou did not secure a significant ground advantage against Daniel Kelly on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:54 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 135 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +52 |
Elias Theodorou demonstrated solid activity levels with 135 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Elias Theodorou capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Kelly's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Elias Theodorou started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Kelly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Elias Theodorou |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.