November 6, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Daniel Kelly overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Luke Zachrich.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 072 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -44 |
Daniel Kelly earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Daniel Kelly slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Daniel Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Daniel Kelly dominated Luke Zachrich on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Daniel Kelly demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Daniel Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Zachrich's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Daniel Kelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Zachrich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Luke Zachrich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.