February 13, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Daniel Kelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 296 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Daniel Kelly edged the striking exchanges with 61 vs 50 significant strikes, 32.1% vs 16.9% accuracy. Daniel Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 139 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Daniel Kelly demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Walsh's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Daniel Kelly extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Walsh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Kelly | Patrick Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.