Daniel Kelly vs Steve Montgomery

November 13, 2015

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1064
(+27)
Daniel Kelly
Winner: Daniel Kelly
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Daniel Kelly+27
Steve Montgomery-26
938
(-26)
Steve Montgomery

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +24Steve Montgomery: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 085955
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Kelly for the expected result. Had Steve Montgomery pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +19Steve Montgomery: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 039960
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +28Steve Montgomery: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 106930
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +22Steve Montgomery: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Significant Strikes Landed6377
Significant Strikes Attempted121191
Total Strikes Landed11589
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO976893
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly edged the striking exchanges with 115 vs 89 total strikes, 63 vs 77 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 40.3% accuracy. Daniel Kelly capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +66Steve Montgomery: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted130
Ground Control Time7:530:02
Ground Strikes Landed232
Ground ELO1 142880
ELO Change+66-66
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly dominated Steve Montgomery on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:53 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +20Steve Montgomery: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Days Since Last Fight190141
Activity ELO1 077963
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Kelly capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Montgomery's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +20Steve Montgomery: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 046961
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Daniel Kelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Montgomery is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Kelly: +19Steve Montgomery: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel KellySteve Montgomery
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 039960
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.