February 23, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 873 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Edgar Chairez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Lacerda.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 904 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 825 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +49 |
Edgar Chairez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 755 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Edgar Chairez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 4 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 23.5% accuracy. Edgar Chairez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 782 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Edgar Chairez edged out Daniel Lacerda on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 905 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Edgar Chairez demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edgar Chairez capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Lacerda's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 905 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Edgar Chairez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Lacerda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 904 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.