April 29, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 943 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:18 | 1:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 923 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +75 |
Francisco Figueiredo earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 897 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Francisco Figueiredo slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 66.7% accuracy. Francisco Figueiredo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 915 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Francisco Figueiredo demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Francisco Figueiredo capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Lacerda's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Francisco Figueiredo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Lacerda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Francisco Figueiredo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.