October 22, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:46 | 0:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +76 |
Jeff Molina gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 918 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Jeff Molina dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 31 total strikes, 47 vs 20 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeff Molina capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 3:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 38 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Jeff Molina edged out Daniel Lacerda on the ground with 3:26 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Jeff Molina demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jeff Molina capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Lacerda's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Jeff Molina extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Lacerda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.