August 19, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:39 | 3:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 889 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +73 |
Victor Altamirano earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 809 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Victor Altamirano dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 27 total strikes, 58 vs 22 significant strikes, 69.9% vs 48.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Victor Altamirano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 1:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 41 |
| Ground ELO | 862 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Victor Altamirano controlled Daniel Lacerda on the ground with 1:55 of control time, 41 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 940 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Victor Altamirano demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Victor Altamirano capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Lacerda's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 940 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Victor Altamirano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Lacerda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Lacerda | Victor Altamirano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 940 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.