July 21, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -37 |
Daniel Marcos overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Davey Grant.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Daniel Marcos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 140 | 215 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Davey Grant controlled the striking through superior volume (70 vs 49 total strikes), significant strike advantage (70 vs 48). However, since Davey Grant lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Marcos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 067 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Daniel Marcos demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Marcos capitalized on this activity level, while Davey Grant's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Daniel Marcos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Davey Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Davey Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.