June 7, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 159 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -32 |
Daniel Marcos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Castaneda.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 147 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Daniel Marcos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 98 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 101 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Daniel Marcos controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 68 total strikes, 98 vs 60 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 48.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Daniel Marcos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 2:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 096 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Daniel Marcos did not secure a significant ground advantage against John Castaneda on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -23 |
Daniel Marcos demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Marcos capitalized on this activity level, while John Castaneda's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Daniel Marcos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Castaneda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.