January 20, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 077 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -38 |
Daniel Marcos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -99 |
Daniel Marcos controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 25 total strikes, 53 vs 23 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 32.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Daniel Marcos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 2:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 858 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Daniel Marcos landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Daniel Marcos demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Daniel Marcos capitalized on this activity level, while Saimon Oliveira's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Daniel Marcos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Saimon Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Marcos | Saimon Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.