October 7, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Stefan Struve's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Daniel Omielanczuk pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Stefan Struve earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Daniel Omielanczuk was submitted.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 191 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Daniel Omielanczuk controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (14 vs 9). However, since Daniel Omielanczuk lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stefan Struve's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 2:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Stefan Struve controlled Daniel Omielanczuk on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:45 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 87 | 153 |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Omielanczuk's 87-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Stefan Struve extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Omielanczuk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Omielanczuk | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

