Daniel Pineda vs Darren Elkins

October 19, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

993
(-18)
Daniel Pineda
Winner: Darren Elkins
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Daniel Pineda-18
Darren Elkins+18
1164
(+18)
Darren Elkins

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -19Darren Elkins: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Total UFC Fights1429
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO9531 141
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins's 15-fight experience advantage (29 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Daniel Pineda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -14Darren Elkins: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9581 101
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -26Darren Elkins: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0741 261
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -27Darren Elkins: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Significant Strikes Landed3139
Significant Strikes Attempted5388
Total Strikes Landed61102
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9821 078
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 61 total strikes, 39 vs 31 significant strikes, 44.3% vs 58.5% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -23Darren Elkins: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted012
Ground Control Time3:026:33
Ground Strikes Landed138
Ground ELO1 0141 258
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins edged out Daniel Pineda on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -12Darren Elkins: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Days Since Last Fight85372
Activity ELO1 0281 216
ELO Change-12+11
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins demonstrated extended layoff with 372 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -12Darren Elkins: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9761 160
ELO Change-12+15
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Daniel Pineda: -14Darren Elkins: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricDaniel PinedaDarren Elkins
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9581 099
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.