October 19, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 29 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Darren Elkins's 15-fight experience advantage (29 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Daniel Pineda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Darren Elkins controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 61 total strikes, 39 vs 31 significant strikes, 44.3% vs 58.5% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:02 | 6:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Darren Elkins edged out Daniel Pineda on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 372 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +11 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated extended layoff with 372 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +15 |
Darren Elkins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

