August 16, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Diego Brandao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 009 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Daniel Pineda controlled the striking through superior volume (88 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (61 vs 42), superior accuracy (38.1% vs 48.8%). However, since Daniel Pineda lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Diego Brandao's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 4:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Diego Brandao controlled Daniel Pineda on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 4:26 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +43 |
Diego Brandao demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Brandao capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Diego Brandao extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

