August 14, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Daniel Pineda's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Pineda for the expected result. Had Herbert Burns pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:37 | 4:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -62 |
Daniel Pineda gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 173 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +136 | -136 |
Daniel Pineda dominated the striking exchanges with 173 vs 35 total strikes, 57 vs 10 significant strikes, 76.0% vs 45.5% accuracy. Daniel Pineda capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:13 | 2:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 48 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Daniel Pineda controlled Herbert Burns on the ground with 1 takedown, 6:13 of control time, 48 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 345 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -24 |
Daniel Pineda demonstrated extended layoff with 2345 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Daniel Pineda capitalized on this activity level, while Herbert Burns's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Daniel Pineda started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Herbert Burns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Pineda | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.