July 2, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -34 |
Daniel Roberts overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Forrest Petz.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 981 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Daniel Roberts receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Forrest Petz controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (21 vs 5), superior accuracy (30.4% vs 11.4%). However, since Forrest Petz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Roberts's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:13 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 795 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Daniel Roberts controlled Forrest Petz on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 7:13 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 104 | 987 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -24 |
Daniel Roberts demonstrated solid activity levels with 104 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Forrest Petz's 987-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Daniel Roberts started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Forrest Petz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Forrest Petz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.