December 31, 2010
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -40 |
Daniel Roberts earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Greg Soto controlled the striking through superior accuracy (46.2% vs 23.1%). However, since Greg Soto lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Roberts's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:46 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 146 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Daniel Roberts controlled Greg Soto on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:46 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 146 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -17 |
Daniel Roberts demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Daniel Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Greg Soto's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Daniel Roberts extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Greg Soto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Greg Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.