October 22, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:13 | 1:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -46 |
Daniel Roberts earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Daniel Roberts demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Guymon's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Daniel Roberts extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Guymon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Roberts | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

