August 21, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:24 | 2:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -37 |
Daniel Rodriguez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 256 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +147 | -147 |
Dwight Grant controlled the striking through superior volume (31 vs 15 total strikes), significant strike advantage (30 vs 15), 1 knockdown. However, since Dwight Grant lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Rodriguez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 124 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Daniel Rodriguez landed 3 knockdowns followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 497 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -27 |
Daniel Rodriguez demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Dwight Grant's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 078 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Daniel Rodriguez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dwight Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.