May 12, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 218 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +56 |
Ian Machado Garry overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Rodriguez.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 246 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +111 |
Ian Machado Garry earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | -145 | +145 |
Ian Machado Garry controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 7 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Ian Machado Garry landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 311 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +97 |
Ian Machado Garry demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Rodriguez's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 122 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +46 |
Ian Machado Garry continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Daniel Rodriguez's now at 0.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.