August 27, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 253 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -33 |
Daniel Rodriguez overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Lee.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 311 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Daniel Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 137 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 330 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Daniel Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 137 vs 74 total strikes, 120 vs 56 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 35.0% accuracy. Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 3:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 194 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Daniel Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kevin Lee on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:45 of control time, 7 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 42 | 532 |
| Activity ELO | 1 348 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -28 |
Daniel Rodriguez demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Lee's 532-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -26 |
Daniel Rodriguez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 099 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.