July 16, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Daniel Rodriguez's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Rodriguez for the expected result. Had Preston Parsons pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 250 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -19 |
Daniel Rodriguez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 280 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Daniel Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 24 total strikes, 45 vs 23 significant strikes. Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 153 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Daniel Rodriguez controlled Preston Parsons on the ground with 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 209 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -11 |
Daniel Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Preston Parsons's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Daniel Rodriguez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Preston Parsons is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.