February 14, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -20 | 20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +128 | -128 |
Daniel Rodriguez overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:37 | 3:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -71 |
Daniel Rodriguez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Means was submitted.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Daniel Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 41 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Daniel Rodriguez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Daniel Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Rodriguez | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

