September 30, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -42 |
Daniel Santos overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Castaneda.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:28 | 4:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -64 |
Daniel Santos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 094 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -139 |
Daniel Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 57 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Daniel Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:52 | 2:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Daniel Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -24 |
Daniel Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Santos capitalized on this activity level, while John Castaneda's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Daniel Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Castaneda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

