April 8, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Julio Arce's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julio Arce for the expected result. Had Daniel Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Julio Arce earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 127 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 229 | 265 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 955 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Julio Arce dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 49 total strikes, 127 vs 49 significant strikes, 47.9% vs 21.4% accuracy. Julio Arce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Julio Arce did not secure a significant ground advantage against Daniel Santos on the ground with 0:18 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +37 |
Julio Arce demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Julio Arce capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Julio Arce started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Santos | Julio Arce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.