June 7, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:20 | 2:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -43 |
Daniel Sarafian earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Daniel Sarafian slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 88.9% vs 33.3% accuracy. Daniel Sarafian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Daniel Sarafian controlled Eddie Mendez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -22 |
Daniel Sarafian demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Sarafian capitalized on this activity level, while Eddie Mendez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Daniel Sarafian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eddie Mendez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Eddie Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.