June 13, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +33 |
Kiichi Kunimoto overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Sarafian.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 965 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +83 |
Kiichi Kunimoto earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 958 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Kiichi Kunimoto slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 75.0% accuracy. Kiichi Kunimoto capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Kiichi Kunimoto controlled Daniel Sarafian on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:52 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +36 |
Kiichi Kunimoto demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kiichi Kunimoto capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Sarafian's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Kiichi Kunimoto extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Sarafian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Kiichi Kunimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.