February 20, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 962 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +43 |
Oluwale Bamgbose overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Sarafian.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +150 |
Oluwale Bamgbose secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 831 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -186 | +186 |
Oluwale Bamgbose controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 0 significant strikes, 40.0% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Oluwale Bamgbose capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Oluwale Bamgbose landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 428 | 198 |
| Activity ELO | 994 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Oluwale Bamgbose demonstrated standard activity with 198 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Oluwale Bamgbose capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Sarafian's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Oluwale Bamgbose started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Sarafian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Sarafian | Oluwale Bamgbose |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.