May 31, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Walt Harris's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Walt Harris for the expected result. Had Daniel Spitz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +76 |
Walt Harris gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Walt Harris controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 17 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Walt Harris capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 967 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Walt Harris landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 258 | 209 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Walt Harris demonstrated standard activity with 209 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Walt Harris capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Spitz's 258-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Walt Harris started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Spitz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Spitz | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.