September 13, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 138 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Esteban Ribovics receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 121 | 156 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 308 | 345 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 156 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Esteban Ribovics controlled the striking exchanges with 156 vs 121 total strikes, 156 vs 121 significant strikes. Esteban Ribovics capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +46 |
Esteban Ribovics demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Esteban Ribovics capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Zellhuber's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Esteban Ribovics extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Zellhuber is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Esteban Ribovics |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.