February 23, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Daniel Zellhuber earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 272 | 246 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 112 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Daniel Zellhuber controlled the striking exchanges with 120 vs 91 total strikes, 120 vs 90 significant strikes. Daniel Zellhuber capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Daniel Zellhuber did not secure a significant ground advantage against Francisco Prado on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Daniel Zellhuber demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Zellhuber capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Prado's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Daniel Zellhuber extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Prado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.