September 16, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Trey Ogden earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 178 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Trey Ogden controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 52 total strikes, 71 vs 52 significant strikes, 42.3% vs 29.2% accuracy. Trey Ogden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 970 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Trey Ogden did not secure a significant ground advantage against Daniel Zellhuber on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Trey Ogden demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trey Ogden capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Zellhuber's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Trey Ogden started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Zellhuber is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniel Zellhuber | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.