June 27, 2026
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 132 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Daniil Donchenko's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniil Donchenko for the expected result. Had Theodor Berggren pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -25 |
Daniil Donchenko gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 250 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Daniil Donchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 73 vs 29 total strikes, 71 vs 23 significant strikes, 66.4% vs 35.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Daniil Donchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Daniil Donchenko did not secure a significant ground advantage against Theodor Berggren on the ground with 0:27 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -16 |
Daniil Donchenko demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniil Donchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Theodor Berggren's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Daniil Donchenko extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Theodor Berggren is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daniil Donchenko | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.