September 27, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:12 | 1:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +88 |
Mark Madsen earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 805 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Mark Madsen controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 0 total strikes, 22 vs 0 significant strikes, 75.9% vs 0.0% accuracy. Mark Madsen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 919 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Mark Madsen controlled Danilo Belluardo on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Mark Madsen demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mark Madsen capitalized on this activity level, while Danilo Belluardo's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Mark Madsen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danilo Belluardo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danilo Belluardo | Mark Madsen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.