February 4, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Jailton Almeida overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Danilo Marques.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +111 |
Jailton Almeida earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 849 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -140 | +140 |
Jailton Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 2 total strikes, 30 vs 0 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 0.0% accuracy. Jailton Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Jailton Almeida controlled Danilo Marques on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:48 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jailton Almeida demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jailton Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Danilo Marques's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Jailton Almeida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danilo Marques is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.