June 25, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:20 | 0:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +87 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 989 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 10 significant strikes, 38.8% vs 55.6% accuracy. Kennedy Nzechukwu capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:42 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu did not secure a significant ground advantage against Danilo Marques on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kennedy Nzechukwu capitalized on this activity level, while Danilo Marques's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danilo Marques is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danilo Marques | Kennedy Nzechukwu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.