February 16, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Danny Barlow overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Quinlan.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:18 | 1:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -46 |
Danny Barlow gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 95 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 185 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Danny Barlow dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 39 total strikes, 95 vs 39 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 43.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Danny Barlow capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Danny Barlow landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 295 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Danny Barlow demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Danny Barlow capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Quinlan's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Danny Barlow started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Quinlan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.