August 9, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Danny Barlow receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Nikolay Veretennikov lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Danny Barlow's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:16 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Danny Barlow did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nikolay Veretennikov on the ground with 1:16 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Danny Barlow demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Danny Barlow capitalized on this activity level, while Nikolay Veretennikov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Danny Barlow extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikolay Veretennikov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Barlow | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.