August 13, 2011
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Jacob Volkmann's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jacob Volkmann for the expected result. Had Danny Castillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 020 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Jacob Volkmann earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Danny Castillo controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (22 vs 6), superior accuracy (73.3% vs 37.5%). However, since Danny Castillo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jacob Volkmann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:06 | 7:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Jacob Volkmann edged out Danny Castillo on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 7:47 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 164 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Jacob Volkmann demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jacob Volkmann capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Castillo's 164-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Jacob Volkmann extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Castillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.