Danny Castillo vs Jim Miller

July 24, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1068
(-18)
Danny Castillo
Winner: Jim Miller
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Danny Castillo-18
Jim Miller+20
1201
(+20)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -23Jim Miller: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Total UFC Fights1320
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 0541 193
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Jim Miller's 7-fight experience advantage (20 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Danny Castillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -16Jim Miller: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0161 129
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -6Jim Miller: +6

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1421 314
ELO Change-6+6
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jim Miller receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -17Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed3545
Significant Strikes Attempted103110
Total Strikes Landed5161
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9881 150
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

Jim Miller edged the striking exchanges with 45 vs 35 significant strikes. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -38Jim Miller: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted63
Ground Control Time2:202:10
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 1401 170
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller edged out Danny Castillo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:10 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -13Jim Miller: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Days Since Last Fight20398
Activity ELO1 1501 336
ELO Change-13+32
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Castillo's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -14Jim Miller: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0381 190
ELO Change-14+15
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What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Castillo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -16Jim Miller: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloJim Miller
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0151 128
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.