March 2, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Danny Castillo overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Stevenson.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Danny Castillo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 068 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Danny Castillo dominated the striking exchanges with 82 vs 21 total strikes, 55 vs 12 significant strikes, 53.4% vs 26.7% accuracy. Danny Castillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:13 | 3:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -133 |
Danny Castillo dominated Joe Stevenson on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 5:13 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 82 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Danny Castillo demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Danny Castillo capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Stevenson's 82-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Danny Castillo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Stevenson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Castillo | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.